Get your notebooks ready... here are the chase scenarios for the 4 Cup drivers... I'm not about to figure out the scenarios for Lucky Dog except that if Greg Miller finishes 6th or better... no matter where all the other teams finish, he'll win.

The Chase Scenarios: The Championship Scenarios at Homestead:
If Tony Stewart wins the race he wins the title.
1. If Stewart finishes 9th or better, he wins title
2. If Stewart leads a lap and finishes 10th or better, he wins title-6,554

If Jimmie Johnson wins the race (180 points + 5 points for leading a lap = 185 pts)-6,548 1. If Stewart finishes 12th or worse, Johnson wins title
2. If Stewart does not lead a lap and finishes 11th or worse, Johnson wins title
If J. Johnson wins the race and leads the most laps (180 +10 bonus pts = 190)-6,553
1. If Stewart finishes 11th or worse, Johnson wins title
2. If Stewart does not lead a lap and finishes 10th or worse, Johnson wins title

If Carl Edwards wins the race (180 points + 5 points for leading a lap = 185 pts)-6,513
1. If Stewart finishes 25th or worse AND
If Jimmie Johnson finishes 9th or worse, Edwards wins title
2. If Stewart does not lead a lap and finishes 22nd or worse AND
If Jimmie Johnson does not lead a lap and finishes 6th or worse, Edwards wins title
If C. Edwards wins the race and leads the most laps (180 + 10 bonus pts = 190)-6,518
1. If Stewart finishes 22nd or worse AND
If Johnson 6th or worse, Edwards wins title
2. If Stewart does not lead a lap and finishes 21st or worse AND
If Johnson does not lead a lap and finishes 5th or worse, Edwards wins title

If Greg Biffle wins the race (180 points + 5 points for leading a lap = 185 pts)-6,498
1. If Stewart finishes 30th or worse AND
If Jimmie Johnson finishes 13th or worse AND
If Edwards finishes 4th or worse, Biffle wins title
2. If Stewart does not lead a lap and finishes 27th AND
If Johnson does not lead a lap and finishes 10th or worse AND
If Edwards does not lead a lap and finishes 2nd or worse, Biffle wins title If G. Biffle wins the race and leads the most laps (180 + 10 bonus pts = 190)-6,503
1. If Stewart finishes 27th or worse AND
If Johnson finishes 10th or worse AND
If Edwards finishes 2nd or worse, Biffle wins title
2. If Stewart does not lead a lap and finishes 25th or worse AND
If Johnson does not lead a lap and finishes 9th or worse AND
If Edwards does not lead a lap and finishes 2nd or worse, Biffle wins title.(11-17-2005)